Incorporation of agricultural risk in to water resource planning models

Conner , J.R. (1970) Incorporation of agricultural risk in to water resource planning models. PhD thesis, Texas A&M University.

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This study illustrates that a water resource system planning model can be developed which will incorporate the full effects of the risk elements inherent in the system. The system for which the model is developed is that of a single reservoir the sole purpose of which is to provide water for an irrigation development. The design variables for the system are the size of the reservoir, the number of acres to be irrigated and the amount of water to be furnished each irrigated acre. The risk considered in this model is of hydrologic origin and includes variable stream inflow. variable evaporation and variable rainfall. In this study the reactions of the users of the water, i.e., the farmers in the irrigation development, to these risk elements and the effects of their reactions on the optimal levels of the design variables are included in a simu lation model of the system. This is accomplished by allowing the water users to react to many different degrees of variation in the ammount of water supplied them and then evaluating the effects of these reactions on the returns accruing to the system.

Item Type: Thesis (PhD)
Author Affiliation: Texas A&M University
Subjects: Plant Production
Environmental Science > Natural Resources
Divisions: General
Depositing User: Mr Arbind Seth
Date Deposited: 07 Jul 2013 12:59
Last Modified: 07 Jul 2013 12:59

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