Farm household models to analyse food security in a changing climate: a review

van Wijk, M.T. and Rufino, M.C. and Enahoro, D. and et al, . (2014) Farm household models to analyse food security in a changing climate: a review. Global Food Security, 3 (2). pp. 77-84.

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Abstract

We systematically reviewed the literature on farm household models, with emphasis on those focused on smallholder systems. The models were evaluated on their predictive ability to describe short term (3-10 years) food security of smallholder farm households under climate variability and under different scenarios of climate change. The review of 126, mainly production-oriented, farm household models, showed that integrated analyses of food security at the farm household level are scarce. Some models deal with elements of food security, but the models covered in this review are weak on decision-making theory and risk analyses. These aspects need urgent attention for dealing with more complex adaptation and mitigation questions, in the face of climatic change. Approaches that make use of decision making theory and combine the strengths of (dynamic) mathematical programming and expert systems decision models seem promising in this respect. They could support the robust evaluation of climate change impacts and adaptive management options on smallholder systems.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Review,Farm household model, Climate change, Food security
Author Affiliation: International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), Livestock Systems and the Environment, P.O. Box 30709, 00100 Nairobi, Kenya.
Subjects: Atmosperic Science > Climatology
Postharvest Management > Food Technology
Social Sciences > Postharvest Management > Food Technology
Divisions: General
Depositing User: Mr B Krishnamurthy
Date Deposited: 26 Sep 2014 03:00
Last Modified: 26 Sep 2014 03:44
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2014.05.001
URI: http://eprints.icrisat.ac.in/id/eprint/13457

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