The Consequences Of Co2 Stabilisation For The Impacts Of Climate Change

Arnell , N.W and Cannell, M.G.R. and Hulme, M and et al, . (2002) The Consequences Of Co2 Stabilisation For The Impacts Of Climate Change. Climatic Change, 53. pp. 413-446.

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This paper reports the main results of an assessment of the global-scale implications of the stabilisation of atmospheric CO2 concentrations at 750 ppm (by 2250) and 550 ppm (by 2150), in relation to a scenario of unmitigated emissions. The climate change scenarios were derived from simulation experiments conducted with the HadCM2 global climate model and forced with the IPCC IS92a, S750 and S550 emissions scenarios. The simulated changes in climate were applied to an observed global baseline climatology, and applied with impacts models to estimate impacts on natural vegetation, water resources, coastal flood risk and wetland loss, crop yield and food security, and malaria. The studies used a single set of population and socio-economic scenarios about the future that are similar to those adopted in the IS92a emissions scenario.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: The work reported in this paper has been funded by a series of contracts from the U.K. Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions (ITE: EPG1/1/64; Southampton: EPG1/1/70, Middlesex: EPG1/1/71, LSHTM: EPG1/1/72, Jackson Environment Institute: EPG1/1/73). AW was partially supported at Herriot-Watt University by Royal Society Grant RSRG 21621. Many people have contributed significantly to the work summarised here: these include Gunter Fischer, Pim Martens, Anthony McMichael and Cynthia Rosenzweig. The climate scenario data were provided by Dr. David Viner of the Climatic Research Unit through the Climate Impacts LINK project (DETR EPG/1/1/68). The helpful comments of the reviewers are gratefully acknowledged.
Author Affiliation: Department of Geography, University of Southampton (U.K)
Subjects: Atmosperic Science > Climatology
Depositing User: Mr Siva Shankar
Date Deposited: 23 Feb 2012 03:08
Last Modified: 23 Feb 2012 03:08

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